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Feedgrain Focus: More rain hampers southern harvest

Loads of rain has fallen prior to now week in elements of the Mallee, the place most crops other than wheat have been harvested. Photograph: Matt Witney, Dodgshun Medlin

VALUES for southern barley and ASW wheat have firmed following rain which has slowed harvest and grain deliveries, however delivered to life an SFW wheat market which is able to fulfill some customers’ wants.

In Queensland and northern New South Wales, harvest is all however over, and a few growers are promoting feed barley and lower-protein wheat as the beginning of the sorghum harvest nears.

The northern barley market has softened a bit of on grower promoting, whereas ASW wheat has firmed as customers face the prospect of unharvested wheat in Vic and southern and central NSW coming in with mild testweights and a few sprouting.

Desk 1: Indicative costs in Australian {dollars} per tonne.

Sellers come ahead in north

Grower curiosity in promoting wheat and barley has picked up prior to now week now most have completed harvest, and have largely or absolutely accomplished their chickpea promoting applications.

Whereas loads of chickpeas are nonetheless on farm forward of their journey to Brisbane for export, merchants say growers now have the time to consider pricing some barley or wheat into the feedgrain market.

“The Downs marketplace for feed is $3-$4 softer than it was at first of final week, and you may decide up wheat for July-August at $355, which is under the price of carry,” one dealer mentioned.

“There’s positively a bit extra grower promoting this week; guys need to promote some cereals and make some rain for sorghum.”

Rain in central and southern NSW and into Vic has made growers within the north with high-quality wheat left to promote hopeful of additional rallies for APW and above segregations as falling numbers machines are deployed at receival websites throughout NSW and Vic.

“Any protein booked to exit of Victoria and Port Kembla could possibly be arduous to get.”

In the meantime, northern customers are trying as far south as central NSW for some rain-affected grain to mix with high-spec masses accessible regionally.

Patchy rain of 20-40mm in locations has fallen in southern Qld, the place sorghum crops are typically taking a look at above-average yield potential, and good rain has additionally fallen in elements of Central Qld forward of sorghum planting in January-February.

In grain-growing areas, Mungindi on the Qld-NSW border had the best fall within the week to 9am at this time of 171mm.

Different Qld registrations embody: Clermont 77mm; Emerald 23mm; Jondaryan 20mm; Roma 15mm; Springsure 13mm, and Surat 93mm.

Southern

Extra rain within the week to at this time has additional challenged high quality prospects for wheat in Vic and southern NSW.

Whereas no less than three-quarters of Vic and southern NSW barley paddocks have been harvested, a big chunk of the wheat crop remains to be standing, and looking out extremely unlikely to grade APW or higher if it bought greater than 20mm of rain prior to now fortnight.

Numerous localities within the Mallee specifically did dodge the rain, however climate has been humid and much from preferrred for grain ripening and harvest.

Rainfall registrations within the week to 9am at this time embody: Berriwillock 40mm; Birchip 17mm; Dunolly 38mm; Horsham 32mm; Nhill 5mm; Ouyen 20mm, and St Arnaud 24mm.

In central and southern NSW, rain was typically heavier, however over extra remoted areas, and falls included: Ardlethan 77mm; Barellan 45mm; Condobolin 139mm; Forbes 102mm; Manildra 84mm; Urana 27mm; West Wyalong 105mm, and Younger 123mm.

Forward of extra rain forecast for tomorrow and Saturday, Wilken Grain dealer Andrew Kelso mentioned growers whose harvest was interrupted by rain had been anticipated to get going once more yesterday or at this time

A low-rainfall rising season for Vic and southern NSW means wheat already within the bin is usually of above-average protein and good high quality, sufficient to amply cowl home flour-milling necessities, plus some for export.

It’s the stockfeed wheat, or SFW, market that has sprung this week, and represents good shopping for for these searching for masses to mix with higher-spec wheat.

“There’s an SFW market now that wasn’t there earlier than, and…the stockfeeders needs to be comfortable about that,” Mr Kelso mentioned.

The SFW market is consolidating at as much as $15-$20/t under ASW, and immediate markets typically are $5-$10/t above the January ahead markets as rain this and final week, and extra on the forecast, makes it difficult for some customers to entry spot masses.

For some growers, rain has created a transparent divide between pre-rain high-spec wheat to take a seat on, and weather-damaged grain to take a look at promoting now.

“Folks are actually pricing SFW as a substitute of APW and H2, and SFW is $10-$15 underneath ASW,” one up-country dealer mentioned.

These on-farm values are sitting at round $290-$310/t for ASW, with SFW at extra like $270-$280/t.

 

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